The wait will end on Friday at 11am Oslo time. With the announcement of the Nobel Peace Prize, Donald Trump will know if he won among the 338 candidates for the prize. From the activist Greta Thunbergjust returned from Israel after boarding the Gaza Flotilla and being arrested, to the UN special rapporteur for the occupied Palestinian territories, Francesca Albanesethe challenge is also between different visions of the world and of how to put an end to conflicts, which have never been so numerous since 1946, according to a study by Uppsala University.
Trump he does not hide that he covets the prize, which he claims in recognition of his supposed successes in having put an end to “eight wars”. Before him, four US presidents received it Roosevelt until Obama. Donald he had already been nominated in 2020 and 2021 and this time he could have some more chances, after the nomination presented by several heads of state and government, from Netanyahu to representatives of Pakistan, Congo and Cambodia. Furthermore, in recent days, the families of the Israeli hostages have written to the Nobel Committee asking for an award Trump for bringing what they call “light to the darkest days”, thanks to his commitment to the release of those kidnapped by terrorists on October 7.
Large betting operators have quoted the chances of victory of different candidates and given Trump among the favorites together with the wife of the Russian dissident who died in prison Alexey Navalny, Juliaa Volodymyr Zelensky ea Greta Thunberg. Possible winners also include organizations such as the Sudan Emergency Response Chambers, the International Court of Justice and OSCE election observers. But according to many experts, this time too the occupant of the White House will not win. “Beyond the attempts at mediation for Gaza, we observe policies that go against the intentions and principles enunciated in Nobel’s will”, such as international cooperation, brotherhood between peoples and disarmament, declared the director of the Oslo Peace Research Institute, Nina Graeger.
Last year’s choice fell on the organization Nihon Hidankyo, which represents survivors of the atomic bombings. Again this year, a figure who is not too controversial or divisive could be honored. “Let’s look at the picture in its entirety”, explains the president of the five-member committee that awards the Nobel Peace Prize, Jørgen Watne Frydnes: “Let us first examine what they have concretely achieved in the service of peace.”
Therefore, in the Oval Office there are not too many illusions. “I have solved eight wars but they will never give me the Nobel Peace Prize,” he himself had recently said Trump speaking to the military leaders summoned to Quantico: «They will give it to someone who has done nothing or has written a book on the mind of Donald Trump and how wars are resolved.”