Seven hundred and sixty points, apparently few. Are those who separate Carlos Alcaraz And Jannik Sinner On the first Monday after the result of the US Open final overturned the hierarchies, bringing the Spaniard back to number 1 of the ATP ranking he had lost in 2023. Few, of course, if compared to the abyss of 4850 points that divide the blue from the number 3, Alexander Zverev.
After 65 weeks as a dominator, the sun has set the sun on the kingdom of Sinner I, while the 22 -year -old Spanish Fuoriclasse started his fifth period as a leader of the planet Tennis and the 37th overall week at the top. That the two are intended to exchange positions several times in the years to come seems certain and it is inevitable to ask: when does the next reversal? Much depends on the points that everyone will have to defend from here to the end of the year. And it turns out that to see the contrast could take several months. The ranking takes into account only the points conquered in the last year. When a tournament turns over, the points of the previous edition ‘expired to be replaced with those obtained in the most recent. And this favors Alcarazwhich from here to the end of 2025 will have to defend only 950 points, against 2880 of Jannik.
The blue could decide to play tournaments that had discarded last year. Meanwhile, he has already announced that in October he will be in Vienna (ATP 500, where he won in 2023). At the end of September he will return to the field in Beijing (another ATP 500), where last year he lost in the final against Alcaraz. Here the Murciano will not be there, but the Tokyo tournament will play. So, the blue could win in China and take 500 points, but Carlos It could frustrate the gain by doing the same in Japan. Then (1-12 October) there is Shanghai, where Sinner – Charge – defends 1,000 points against 200 of Alcarazwhich in 2024 stopped in the quarterfinals. At the ATP Finals (9-16 November) another heavy booty: 1,500 points to defend for the victory of 2024, against 200 of Alcaraz.
The most favorable period at South Tyrolean could therefore start in February 2026. It will be essential for him to defend the victories 2024 and 2025 at the Australian Open. So it should have the road flattened with respect to the opponent, given that this year it was stopped three months to serve the disqualification due to the clostebol case. Then the field will speak and upset every forecast.