Towards a large koalition in Germany: the alliance between conservative and social democrats possible

John

By John

In Germany the new Bundestag will have five parliamentary groups. At the center of the hemicycle will sit theUnion Of Cdu And Csuthe most consistent group. In the Federation of Conservatives, the Bavarians of the Csu they got 6% and 44 seats, while the Cdu 22.6% and 164 seats: overall theUnion It can count on 208 parliamentarians. In Germany they are indicated with the black color.

On their right the second largest parliamentary group will sit down, that of Alternative Fuer Deutschland (AFD), which has obtained 20.8% and will be able to count on 152 seats. AFD It will be the first opposition force and, by regulation, in parliamentary sessions will take the floor immediately after the government. Their color is the blue.

To the left of theUnion Instead, theSPDthird parliamentary group, with 16.4% of the votes and 120 seats. For historical legacy to the Social Democrats, the red. At the moment the most probable hypothesis to form a majority is a coalition guided by conservative with i social democrats. In this case, the government could count on 328 parliamentarians (52%), with the majority set at 316 seats on 630 total.

Grosse Koalition

Traditionally we refer to this alliance as Grosse Koalitioneven if it has now been very shrunk: the first experiment was in 1966 and had a majority of 447 parliamentarians out of 496, 90%. With Angela Merkel There were three large coalitions: in 2005 (74%), in 2013 (80%) and in 2018 (56%).

GUUENEN AND LINKE

The opposition should end the Gruenenwhich reached 11.6% of the votes and obtained 85 parliamentarians; Obviously they are represented with the green color. Always in the opposition on far -left benches it will continue to sit the Linkewhich obtained 8.8% of the votes and can count on 64 parliamentarians; The party is represented with the purple color. A seat is intended for linguistic minorities In the North of the country.

Constitutional changes

Constitutional changes require majorities of two thirds: i.e. 420 parliamentarians. If it is true that AFD It cannot block constitutional changes, it is equally true that the great coalition government, even counting on the support of the Greenwould not have this majority.