The Democrats are picking up their pace. 48 hours before the mid-term elections, their advantage over the Republicans for the conquest of the House and Senate rises to seven points: 52% of voters would like them to lead Congress, against 45% who would prefer the Republicans. “If they win, I will be Mr Veto,” threatened a combative Donald Trump, implying that he did not want to be a passive and immobile lame duck. Despite polls against it, the president continues to hope and fight even on the field. After the Halloween party based on caviar and champagne at Mar-a-Lago, the president flew to Iowa and Kansas to make the final push for November 3 and try to convince the Maga people at the last minute to go en masse to vote in the midterms, which have been transformed into a referendum on their actions.
“They are the most important in American history,” he has been repeating for weeks. The tycoon, however, seems to have lost his magic touch: between the high cost of living that does not let go and the opposition to the war in Iran, artificial intelligence and data centers, the Americans and his base are turning their backs on him. The Republicans’ fear is that voters will express all their disappointment at the polls, giving rise to that blue wave that is so scary. But the victory of the Democrats, especially in the Senate, is far from a given. The homonymy scandal in Alaska and the internal rift within the party in Michigan are shaking up the last remnants of the election campaign. Despite Trump’s claims of voter fraud, a judge rejected the administration’s preliminary lawsuit to block the certification of votes in Alaska if the Republican candidate loses. In Michigan the liberal crisis is much deeper and more dangerous, with implications for the entire progressive wing. Democratic congresswoman Haley Stevens distanced herself from Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed – who had beaten her in the primaries – and in a twist supported her Republican rival Mike Rogers. A move that could endanger El-Sayed’s chances of victory, already in the sights of the Republicans and Trump for his Muslim faith, and therefore those of the Democrats of realizing their dream of conquering the Senate.
“This is great news,” the president wrote on his social network Truth, praising Haley’s “courage” and seeing an opening for his Rogers, who is behind in the polls. «I don’t think about Haley Stevens. I want to talk about policies for Michigan”, cut El-Sayed short, evidently irritated by the position of the Democratic congresswoman, dumped by her entire staff who she had left unaware of her intention to support the Republican candidate. While welcoming liberal scandals with relief, Republicans are preparing for the worst. In the White House, great maneuvers have begun on how to continue to govern if the liberals win the majority in the House and Senate. The tycoon’s staff is considering proceeding with executive orders to bypass Congress and carry out the president’s agenda. At the same time, lawyers are evaluating how far Trump can go in his solitary action and defend his moves in court. There are also many concerns among the president’s closest advisors about how the tycoon might react in the event of a heavy defeat. The memory of January 6, 2021 is still alive and the fear is that the unpredictable president could respond violently. According to rumors, in the event of a heavy defeat he could decide to attack Iran as early as the day after the midterms to divert attention. Another hypothesis is that it attempts to block the certification of the vote by the states, invoking electoral fraud and foreign interference and effectively opening a possible unprecedented constitutional crisis.