Calabria is moving against the grain. While Italy consolidates its 2026 in the name of growth of 0.9%, the region remains almost immobile, stuck at a +0.1% of GDP. Only Valle d’Aosta is worse, the only region in negative territory with a contraction of gross domestic product of 0.1%. Trentino-Alto Adige, at the top of the ranking, instead travels at +1.5%. In the middle, the country moves according to a variable geography, until there is a gap of 1.6 points between the first and last regions.
The photograph is the one drawn from the territorial estimates of the Cer for Confesercenti, elaborated on the basis of the latest forecasts of the Parliamentary Budget Office. But within the folds of the Calabrian data, the congenital difficulty of the production system of not being able to transform all opportunities into investments persists. In Reggio Calabria the distance from the rest of the country becomes even more evident. The capital is last in the growth ranking, with a GDP expected at zero, but at the same time it is first for price increases: +4.3%. A double negative record that defines the pressure exerted on families and businesses. Naples, the locomotive of the South, grew by 1.5%; Bari by 1.3%. The average in the South stands at 0.8%.
The inflation data makes the picture even more serious. Behind Reggio Calabria are Naples, with 3.5%, then Bolzano and Rome with 3.4%, Bari and Palermo with 3.2%. Between Reggio and Campobasso, where prices grow less than elsewhere (+1.7%), the distance is 2.6 points.
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