«According to non-definitive data, there was a defeat for FdI in the Veneto, where it was thought that first place was within reach» of Giorgia Meloni’s party, which had achieved very important results in the “previous political and European elections”. Instead, «the League clearly prevails, with a very significant Zaia effect. At the last European elections, FdI had almost tripled the League».
The director of Youtrend Lorenzo Pregliasco explains it to ANSA. «In Campania FdI is playing for first place in the centre-right with FI, a result that is not brilliant but not terrible either – even in a context of clear defeat of the centre-right – given that there is a Cirielli civic party estimated at 5%. Same thing in Puglia, where the centre-right coalition is the loser but FdI holds the scepter among the allies, doubling FI.” «The Democratic Party shows good solidity» everywhere», primarily in Puglia, but also in Veneto where it does not move too far from FdI, Pregliasco points out. However, the result of the M5s in Campania is clear and dark: it would be between 9 and 12%, in line with the regional elections of 2020 when it took 10% but quite below the votes received in the European elections. So on the one hand the Movement conquers the second largest region in Italy, on the other it shows itself to be ineffective in local elections, not even in its stronghold.” «Analysing the trends of these regional regions confirms that in the South the centre-right could struggle to confirm itself. The centre-left allied with the 5s in the south could complicate the centre-right’s plans: there are around ten constituencies, between Puglia and Campania alone, which have been won by the centre-right and around twenty throughout the south which the centre-right” in the state “is not guaranteed to be able to win today”. In such a scenario, with this electoral law, given that today “the governing coalition in the Senate has 120 seats with a majority of 103, it would mean no longer have a majority in the Senate. But these, today, are only hypotheses.”