If at a regional level in 2025 Italian development was mainly driven by Veneto (+0.66% on 2024), for 2026 it is expected that the locomotive will be Emilia Romagna (+0.86 on 2025). Followed by Lazio (+0.78), Piedmont (+0.74), Friuli Venezia Giulia and Lombardy (both with +0.73). At the bottom are Sicily (+0.28%), Basilicata (+0.25) and, in the black, Calabria (+0.24). The CGIA notes this.
The prospect that Emilia-Romagna may grow more than all the other regions this year is due to the stability of the metalworking, automotive and biotechnology sectors. Without considering that Emilia can count on a solid job market, on targeted public investments and on strategies for innovation and exports that have created the conditions for a development that is destined to consolidate in the future. At the provincial level, forecastedly, in 2026 the most important GDP growth is in Varese (+1%). Followed by Bologna (+0.92), Reggio Emilia (+0.91), Biella (+0.90) and Ravenna (+0.89).
Thus the gap between North and South is once again making itself felt, even if the South should count on positive growth in Campania (especially in Caserta and Naples). Among the 107 provinces monitored, the only ones that would present a negative growth contraction compared to 2025 are: Enna (-0.02%) and Ragusa (-0.05). In the top 15 positions at national level, 6 are occupied by the provinces located along the Via Emilia.