«In difficult times like this we need extraordinary measures and extraordinary courage. We need our government to have courage and that Europe changes broken “warns the President of Confindustria, Emanuele Orsini. It invokes “serious policies that put the industry at the center” by presenting “numbers that must make us reflect”, the economic forecasts of the economists of via dell’Astronomy that highlight the growth that braking, how much the investments are “in fall”, and as for the Italian industry “the decline risks becoming structural”. With spring estimates, the Confindustria Study Center has revised down from +0.9 to +0.6% the forecast for GDP 2025 and sees the GDP 2026 growing by 1%. A climate of uncertainty “at the historical” uncertainty also linked to the war of the duties that “weighs as a commercial conflict”. It is the most favorable scenario: hypothesizes that “the surge of uncertainty hard for the first half of 2025” and “does not include the effect of further duties and against duties”.
It can also go much worse: “The worst scenario of a possible protectionist escalation” – warns Confindustria – would entail a further slowdown in GDP with a “of -0.4% in 2025 and -0.6% in 2026”, thus reducing the growth expected to +0.2% in 2025 and to +0.4% in 2026. Last months of productive investments, just what was the booster of the Italian economy “, warns the vice -president of Confindustria with delegation to the Study Center, Lucia Aleotti:” Policies are needed to explode investments explosively: it is not the best response also to the duties to the Americans, it is the only possible answer “. And “We must be able to convince the companies that Italy is the best country to invest, we must convince not to move the production base”. It serves “an extraordinary industrial policy operation”. The response to the war of duties must also be to “make Europe more attractive” for businesses, “to avoid an escape in the United States”, notes the director of the Confindustria Study Center, Alessandro Fontana. The Confindustria alarm is also relaunched by the CGIL: “Alarming forecasts, a real disaster on which the Government and Minister Urso have precise responsibilities. But they are not surprising at all, and confirm a negative trend that has no equal in the recent history of the country”, comments the confederal secretary Pino Gesmundo. “The municipalities are decidedly alarmed for the US duty. Clubs of factories, layoffs and social unease for hundreds of families », warns the ANCI with the vice -president Osvaldo Napoli.