It is practically equal to zero the risk of collision with theAsteroid 2024 YR4 who threatened to hit the Earth The 22 December 2032: thanks to the latest detections on Sunday, the Nasa made the probability of impact from 0.28% to 0.005% (1 out of 20,000), while theEuropean Space Agency reduced it from 0.16% to 0.002%.
“This is one probability of zero impact»He explains on the site Space.com theastronomer Richard Binzel of Massachusetts Institute of Technologyinventor of the Turin scalewhich from beyond twenty years It is used to measure the risk of collision with objects close to the earth as asteroids And comet.
“THE’Asteroid 2024 YR4 has now been reassured to zero level from the Scala of Turinthe level that indicates’No risk‘Because the further tracing of his orbital path has reduced his Possibility to intersect the earth below the threshold of 1 out of 1,000“, continues Binzel.
“One out of a thousand It is the threshold established for the downgrade al zero level of any object more small of 100 metersAnd 2024 YR4 has one estimated size Of 50 meters».
While 2024 YR4 no longer represents one threat for ours Planetit will still be a object of great scientific interest from study carefully when it passes near the earth In the 2028 and again in 2032.