The administration Trump wants to reach a cease fire in Ukraine within Easterthat this year the April 20 Both for Catholics and Orthodox. This is what managed to manage the managers Europeansecond Bloombergeven if a source of the agency believes that obtaining a agreement By the end of the year it is a much more likely scenario.
It is with this hope that the USA give way to Riad al negotiation with Moscow onUkrainewithout Kiev and the Europeans, who organize theirs Counter in Paris. A plastic representation of the growing divisions between the two sides of theAtlantic.
That in Saudi Arabia It will be the first meeting between representatives Americans And Russian from the beginning of the warthree years ago. There Russian delegation is being defined and – according to the Cnn – will include political, economic figures and ofintelligence high level, including the CEO of Russian Sovereign Investment Fund Kirill Dmitrievthe oligarch ‘councilor of Kremlin‘who played a role behind the scenes in the recent Exchange of prisoners with Washington and who was the unofficial representative of the tsar in the first presidency Trump.
From the US delegation The Secretary of State Marco RubioThe Mike Waltz National Security Councilor and thesent for the Middle East Steve Witkoffwhich mediated with Dmitriev The liberation of the American teacher March Fogel. Inexplicably excluded thesent for the Russian-Ucraino conflict Keith Kelloggwhich keeps relations with the allies European and that perhaps has shown so far a too hard line on Kremlineven if he recently tried to correct the shot. It was he who announced that the Europeans – to whom he asked how simple Gregari what contribution of weapons And men they can provide – they will not be at the table of Riad (“Too many parts of interviews would hinder the journey towards the peace“And” would fail as in the Minsk-2 agreements“), but taking the presence of Kiev (“It would be a fool to say that it will not be there”).
Also the President of the Foreign Affairs Commission of the US Chamber Mike McCaulthe first to announce to Monk the talks in Arabiahad evoked the participation of the Ukrainian.
But Kiev It was apparently caught by surprise by the announcement. Volodymyr Zelensky he said he hadn’t received invitations and to want to consult with i strategic partnersin the meantime blocking theAgreement with the USA for the exploitation of the 50% of Ukrainian mining resources In the absence of security guarantees. But then he launched conciliatory signals on X: «We started working with the president’s team Trump And we can already see that the success it is reachable … the true peace It is possible, and we must get it together: Ukraine, United States and Europe. It is ours Shared security».
Confusion and uncertainty are fueled by contrasting messages ofTrump Administrationbetween threats of penalties in Moscow and acceptance of his requests even before starting the negotiation (as the WSJ). Many wonder who truly “in charge” is, who speaks for The Donaldor if there is a strategy and each acts its part.
The impression of various observers, however, is that The Donald is playing a wider one Match two with the Tsarwhich includes theEurope (weakening the EU and the Born), The Middle Eastthe China and theIranThe disarmament. And that the highest price will be the highest priceUkraine And Zelenskywhich in 2019 rejected his request to investigate the Biden in Ukrainethen cost him a impeachment.
What can be glimpsed from the phone calls Trump-Putin And Rubio-Lavrov is a Total beama “reset” that could realize the dream revealed by tsar In the 2007 Just at the Monaco conference: aAmerica which withdraws from its monopolistic domain in the world, one Born that no longer widens to the east, a new balance of powers where the Russia remains one superpower treated by equal to peer. To seal the first step should be theencounter between the two leader just a Riadpropitiated by Saudi hereditary prince Mohammed Bin Salmangood friend of both and mediator also in the release of Fogel.