USA 2024: Harris asks for a second duel, Trump: “I don’t know if we’ll do it”. Analysis of the debate and the polls

John

By John

After the debate, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump went to the ‘spin rooms’ to gather the warmth of the supporters, crowded in Philadelphia to watch the televised confrontation together.

The Democratic candidate’s staff immediately requested a second face-to-face meeting in October. The tycoon’s team, which claims to have just concluded its “best debate ever”, speaks of a “masterful performance”. “Harris wants to do another one because she was beaten tonight but I don’t know if we’ll make another one», ‘The Donald’ declared to reporters present. According to her advisers, the vice president has provided “a dark reminder of Joe Biden’s oppressive policies that she wants to continue.” In the Donkey camp, caution reigns. “Guys, we are still the ‘underdogs’ in this race, it’s on a knife edge,” Harris warned in her meeting with voters in a state that she herself defined as the key to the election. “Let’s stay calm, we haven’t won anything yet, right?”, reiterated her husband Doug Emhoff, an aspiring first gentleman, at her side.

For Biden, however, “there was no contest at all”. The President of the United States watched the broadcast in a New York hotel with family and associates. “Vice President Harris has proven that she is the best choice to lead our nation into the future. We will not go back,” he wrote on X. “Tonight we saw firsthand who has the vision and strength to move this country forward instead of dividing us,” Barack Obama commented, “Kamala Harris will be a president for all Americans.”

Of the opposite nature, as is natural, are the statements of the Republican candidate for vice-president, JD Vanceaccording to which Trump had even “hammered” his rival. “I think what we’ve seen from Kamala Harris is a lot of platitudes, a lot of plans that had no real substance behind them; she said she wanted to ban fracking, now she says no. She wanted to defund the police, now she says no,” the author of Hillbilly Elegy told CNN.
Vance also denied that Trump had made false claims about immigrants in Ohio kidnapping cats and dogs to eat: “This is happening. The people on the ground who are doing this think it’s happening.”

After the televised clash between the two contenders for the US presidency, The analyses and polls on who won the debate beginStatistician Nate Silver wrote on his blog FiveThirtyEight that there is “a strong consensus that Harris won the night.” Silver, who is considered very authoritative in his calculations and was quoted this morning by the Guardian, also notes that Bitcoin prices are falling, “which also implies a loss for Trump.” “Even the Fox News panel I watched,” Silver writes, “seemed to concede that Harris had won toward the end of the night. Harris won CNN’s snap poll of debate watchers by a score of 63-37. On average, the winner of the debate has had an 18-point lead in this poll, so Harris’s 26-point win is on the high end.” Most voters who participated in a CNN focus group at Mercyhurst University in Erie, Pennsylvania, also said they believed Harris had won. The group consisted of 13 voters who had not yet decided who to vote for before the debate. When CNN’s Phil Mattingly asked the group who won the debate, eight of the voters said Harris had won. The reporter noted that Erie is “the most volatile county in the swing state” of Pennsylvania, CNN reports.