Hit Iranian nuclear plants with super bombs or continue on the diplomacy road to find an agreement with Tehran. This is the dilemma of Donald Trump Which, deciding the path of military intervention, risks dragging America and the Middle East in a new conflict with unpredictable consequences. Without considering the unknown of a possible change of regime in Iran that could transform the country into a new Iraq or a new Afghanistan. According to American analysts, the next 48 hours will be crucial for the president.
The head of the pentagon, Pete Hegseth, He assured that his department is “ready to execute any order” by the Commander-in-Chief, the congress asks to be involved in the decision-making process and, meanwhile, a third aircraft carrier, the USS Ford, is already being directed to the Middle East. The Donald, however, seems to have not yet made a decision, at least does not reveal it. He continues to ask Tehran’s unconditional surrender but leaves a glimpse open for the diplomatic solution, he declares that he has lost patience but continues to launch ultimatum. On the other hand, for some observers, its unpredictability in foreign policy is a very specific strategy: the so -called ‘Madman Theory’, the theory of the crazy, also used by Richard Nixon during the cold war. It is, in practice, to take on an attitude of deliberate uncertainty to force opponents (or even the allies, in the case of Trump) to bend to their conditions.
But what are the options that the American president is evaluating in these frenetic hours? First of all, direct intervention by the United States. The potentially most dangerous and unimaginable consequences which, however, has been on the oval study table for days. Before even on Monday’s meeting in the Situation Room, Trump had ordered the deployment in Europe of over thirty refueling planes that can be used to support hunting to protect the bases and American personnel in the Middle East. These are these planes that can supply the B-2 bombers of fuel, the only aircraft of the US army that can transport the gigantic Mop bomb (abbreviation of Massive Ordnance Penetrator), also known by the code name GBU-57, a 12.3 tons bomb developed precisely to hit the underground nuclear plants of Fordow.
The second hypothesis is that Trump decides to continue supporting Benjamin Netanyahu without attacking directly. Publicly the American president declared the Israeli premier to “go ahead”, but according to officials of the White House Trump does not want to get to the elimination of the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. In this second case, naval destroyers and American terrestrial missiles who are already contributing to the defense of Israel against Iranian retaliation would continue to do their job but there would be no escalation in attacks with super bombs.
The third possibility is the one supported by the sorceress movement, the step back. Distanze from Israel’s war against Iran and from the “iron” support to his friend Bibi in the name of America First, the promise that made the elections win in Trump. Iran has already threatened to attack the US bases in the region if Washington will continue to support Israel or decide to enter the war. And the risk of American losses will probably see exponentially growing the sorceress on the president so that he withdraws and pushes Netanyahu to conclude the offensive as soon as possible.