The Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant commissioned by the IAEA, Ukraine’s forever renunciation of NATO and a non-aggression pact between Kiev, Russia and Europe.
These are some of the salient points of Donald Trump’s peace pact that some media, including Axios, have read. A 28-point program, some of which have already been anticipated, such as the transfer of Donbass to Russia or the reduction of the Ukrainian army to 600,000 units, which the White House has defined as “evolving” and on which further details are now emerging.
At point number one there is the sovereignty of Ukraine, an essential condition for Volydymyr Zelensky, like the security guarantees for his country by the United States, established by point number five but without details. The security guarantee – as emerges from a second draft of the plan released by Axios – would be modeled on NATO’s Article 5, which would commit US and European allies to treat an attack on Ukraine as an attack on the entire “transatlantic community”. It states that any future “significant, deliberate and sustained armed attack” by Russia against Ukraine “will be considered an attack that threatens the peace and security of the transatlantic community” and that the US and its allies will respond accordingly.
Washington’s plan also provides for a non-aggression pact between Russia, Ukraine and Europe and underlines that all the ambiguities of the last 30 years will be considered resolved.”
Not only that, Moscow will have to enshrine in law its non-aggression policy towards Europe and Ukraine. It also states that it is “expected” that Russia will not invade its neighbors and that NATO will not expand further. To guarantee all this, a dialogue will be held between Moscow and the Atlantic Alliance with the mediation of the United States, “to resolve all security issues and create the conditions for de-escalation in order to guarantee global security and increase opportunities for cooperation and future economic development”. Speaking of NATO, Ukraine will have to agree to enshrine in its Constitution that it will never join and the Alliance will have to include in its statute that Kiev will not be admitted in the future. The accession to the European Union to which Zelensky’s country may belong is different. Furthermore, during the process Kiev will be granted short-term preferential access to the European market.
NATO will accept and will not deploy troops to Ukraine. Instead, European jets will be stationed in Poland to protect Kiev. As for reconstruction, a Development Fund for Ukraine will be created to invest in fast-growing sectors, including technology, data centers and artificial intelligence. The United States will cooperate to jointly reconstruct, develop, modernize, and operate Ukraine’s gas infrastructure, including pipelines and storage facilities. $100 billion of frozen Russian assets will be invested and Washington will receive 50% of the profits from this initiative. Europe will add $100 billion, and the remainder of the frozen Russian funds will be invested in a separate deal between the United States and Russia.
Moscow will be reinvited to join the G8 and must agree to extend the validity of the treaties on non-proliferation and nuclear arms control, including START I. Ukraine must also agree to Ukraine agrees to be a non-nuclear state in accordance with the Non-Proliferation Treaty. The Zaporizhzhia power plant will be launched under the supervision of the IAEA and the electricity produced will be distributed equally between Russia and Ukraine. Finally, all parties involved in the conflict will be granted an amnesty, which means that Russia cannot be prosecuted for war crimes as requested by many parties. Within 100 days of the agreement, Ukraine will have to hold new elections, a condition that Zelensky had accepted under the condition of a total ceasefire.